ThinkEnigmatic

ThinkEnigmatic / polymarket-bot-arena

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Adaptive trading bot arena for Polymarket BTC 5-min markets

35
12
100% credibility
Found Feb 22, 2026 at 18 stars -- GitGems finds repos before they trend. Get early access to the next one.
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AI Analysis
Python
AI Summary

An open-source arena where multiple adaptive trading bots compete on Bitcoin up/down prediction markets, evolving strategies based on performance using paper or live trading.

How It Works

1
🔍 Discover the Bot Arena

You find this fun project where smart bots compete to predict if Bitcoin goes up or down in quick 5-minute bets on a prediction game site.

2
📝 Sign Up for Free Practice

Create a free account on Simmer to practice trading with fake money, no risk involved.

3
🔗 Connect Your Practice Account

Save your practice login details in a safe spot on your computer so the bots can use it.

4
✅ Run Quick Setup Check

Click to run a simple test that confirms everything works and places a tiny practice bet.

5
🚀 Launch Your Bot Team

Start the arena and watch four clever bots begin betting against each other, learning from wins and losses.

6
📊 Watch Live on Dashboard

Open the web dashboard to see real-time profits, bot rankings, trade timers, and how they evolve every few hours.

🏆 Bots Get Smarter and Win

Your bot team improves over time, turning practice profits into real gains if you switch to live betting.

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Star Growth

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AI-Generated Review

What is polymarket-bot-arena?

This Python project runs an adaptive trading bot arena targeting Polymarket's BTC 5-min up/down markets, where four bots—momentum, mean reversion, sentiment, and hybrid—compete in real time via Simmer for paper trading or direct Polymarket CLOB for live USDC bets. It solves the challenge of building profitable strategies in short-window prediction markets by letting bots learn from resolved trades using Bayesian updates on market conditions like price buckets and BTC momentum, then evolve every two hours by mutating winners. Users get a turnkey system with risk limits, multi-account support, and a real-time FastAPI dashboard for P&L tracking, trade logs, and performance charts.

Why is it gaining traction?

Unlike static trading scripts, this delivers an adaptive trading strategy that self-improves through competition and evolution, mimicking Darwinian selection across liquidity pools in 5-min windows—far beyond basic mean reversion or momentum bots. The hook is the live dashboard showing bot rankings, evolution history, and countdown timers for active markets, plus easy toggles for paper/live modes and copytrading top wallets. Developers dig the zero-setup CLI (`python arena.py`) and SQLite persistence that survives restarts.

Who should use this?

Quant devs or crypto traders testing adaptive trading software on prediction markets, especially those grinding Polymarket BTC 5-min events manually. Hobbyists building adaptive strategies across liquidity pools will love the evolution engine for experimenting without coding new bots. Avoid if you're new to APIs or risk real money without paper testing first.

Verdict

Grab it for paper trading experiments—solid docs, setup scripts, and dashboard make it dev-friendly despite 19 stars and 1.0% credibility score signaling early maturity. Live trading needs caution; add tests and monitor evolution closely before scaling.

(198 words)

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